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X-WR-CALNAME:[TMS] Talk: The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance\
 , Ignorance\, Risk\, and Luck by Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter
METHOD:PUBLISH
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TZID:Europe/London
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DTSTART:19810329T010000
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DTSTART:19961027T020000
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DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20241104T201500
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DTSTAMP:20241029T201931Z
LOCATION:Winstanley Lecture Theatre\n6 Green Street\, Cambridge\, CB2 3J
 U\, England
DESCRIPTION:We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to 
 happen\, what has happened\, and why things turned out how they did. We 
 attribute good and bad events as ‘due to chance’\, label people as ‘luck
 y’\, and (sometimes) admit our ignorance. I will show how to use the the
 ory of probability to take apart all these ideas\, and demonstrate how y
 ou can put numbers on your ignorance\, and then measure how good those n
 umbers are. Along the way we will look at three types of luck\, and judg
 e whether Derren Brown was lucky or unlucky when he was filmed flipping 
 ten Heads in a row. [Professor Spiegelhalter’s latest book is The Art of
  Uncertainty\, How to Navigate Chance\, Ignorance\, Risk and Luck (Pengu
 in\, 19 Sep 2024)!]
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:[TMS] Talk: The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance\, Ign
 orance\, Risk\, and Luck by Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20241104T190000
LAST-MODIFIED:20241029T201928Z
CREATED:20241013T122136Z
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